U.S.-China Cold War cannot be avoided



The Cold War refers to the half-century political confrontation between the capitalist camp led by the United States and its allies after the Second World War and the socialist camp led by the Soviet Union and its satellite states. The Cold War began in 1947 when the United States proposed "Trumanism" and ended in 1991 when the Soviet Union collapsed. The Cold War basically takes place in a special international relationship between the great powers. This is the general definition of the Cold War. The opposite of the Cold War is the hot war. The so-called hot war is the artillery war.

In the past 30 years, the Cold War has continued to manifest itself in the 2014 U.S.-Russian Cold War. The cause of the U.S.-Russian Cold War was Russia 's use of force to annex Ukraine 's territory and Crimea 's return to Russia. Russia's diplomats have been ousted by each other, arms export controls, and various economic and trade sanctions.

In the past few decades, China has implemented the national policy of reform and opening up, and its economic development has attracted worldwide attention. According to data released by the National Bureau of Statistics of China in 2012, China 's gross domestic product (GDP) was 8.56 trillion U.S. dollars. In terms of rankings, it has reached almost half of the US $ 16.16 trillion and leapt to the second place in the world.

When China's economic aggregate ranked second in the world, China's leadership also changed. In 2012, Xi Jinping became the fifth general secretary of the Communist Party of China after 1982 and proposed the ambitious "Chinese dream of the great rejuvenation of the Chinese nation".

Five years later in the 2017 U.S. election, Donald Trump won the 45th president of the United States, and Trump raised the slogan "America First."

According to the ruling styles of the two current leaders of China and the United States, two slogans determined to govern different countries know that they are both powerful and ambitious leaders. And the United States and China are both the most powerful countries in the world today.

Causes of the new US-China Cold War

To discuss the cause, it is necessary to talk about some major historical events related to the United States and China. These major historical events in the United States and China are basically:

The People 's Republic of China was founded on October 1, 1949, and the Korean War in which North Korea invaded South Korea in June of the following year. President Truman of the United States continued to pursue the idea of "containing communism" as the guiding ideology of the country 's political ideology and foreign policy and participated in the United Nations. At this time, the New China was defending Marxism-Leninism. Chairman of the CPC Central Committee Mao Zedong responded to North Korea 's supreme leader General Kim Il Sung at the request of "defending the country and defending the country across the Yalu River." In this war of millions of deaths and injuries, one fight is three years, and the United States and China have really been hostile for 20 years. Due to the hostilities between the United States and China, the United States imposed various blockades on China. The focus was on economic blockades. During the hostilities between the United States and China, the United States did not recognize the People 's Republic of China but recognized the Taiwan Kuomintang government as the Chinese government. The government had a large number of advanced weapons at that time to counteract the mainland's Communist government's possible recapture of Taiwan at any time. Therefore, China also lost the feat of regaining Taiwan. The Taiwan issue has always been the most important core issue of mainland China, and it remains so today.

The 20-year relationship between China and the United States is actually in the historical stage of the Cold War. Here I classify it as the old Cold War stage of the United States and China.

In February 1972, US President Nixon visited China at the invitation of Chinese Premier Zhou Enlai, and the door of China-US relations reopened. During Nixon's visit to China, China and the United States issued the "Sino-US Joint Communiqu¨¦" in Shanghai on February 28, 1972, also known as the "Shanghai Communique", marking the beginning of normalization of Sino-US relations. After another 7 years, diplomatic relations were not formally established until the signing of the communique on the establishment of diplomatic relations between the two countries on New Year's Day in 1979. On August 17, 1982, the full name of the August 17 Communiqu¨¦ was signed. The Sino-US Communiqu¨¦ on Solving the Problem of US Arms Sales to Taiwan was issued in the 1972-1982 10-year joint communique of the three major Sino-US diplomatic relations. The most controversial bulletin.

In addition to the communiqu¨¦ on the establishment of diplomatic relations between the United States and China on New Year's Day in 1979, the "Taiwan Relations Act" came into effect on the same day that the US President Carter's government broke off relations with Taiwan's "Republic of China" to maintain business and culture with Taiwan and other relationships established through unofficial relations. .

On August 17, 1982, the United States and China signed the "Sino-U.S. Communiqu¨¦ on Resolving the U.S. Arms Sales to Taiwan." At the same time, the United States proposed the "Six Guarantees" to the "Republic of China" government. The Chinese government did not recognize the Efficiency of the Six Guarantees.

In 2016, the US House of Representatives and the Senate passed a joint resolution, affirming that the "Six Guarantees" and the "Taiwan Relations Act" are guidelines for Taiwan-US relations and a commitment to Taiwan.

The six guarantees are:

1. The United States is not in favor of setting a time limit for arms sales to Taiwan;

2. The United States does not seek to mediate between Taiwan and the People's Republic of China;

3. The United States will not put pressure on Taiwan to negotiate with the People's Republic of China;

4. The United States' long-term position on Taiwan's sovereignty has not changed;

5. The United States has no plans to modify the Taiwan Relations Act;

6. The contents of the August 17 communique do not imply that the United States will seek Beijing's opinion before arms sales to Taiwan.

It can be seen from the establishment of diplomatic relations between the United States and China that although the United States recognizes the People's Republic of China as the sole legal government of China in the joint statement, the essence of the United States is simultaneously pursuing two China or one China, one Taiwan policy.

As we all know, the social systems of the United States and China are completely different. The United States is the Constitution of the United States of America formulated in 1787. The state structure is a federal system. The universally elected executive president, independent judiciary, and legislative parliament have three checks and balances. The two major parties, the Republican Party and the Democratic Party, take turns to govern the free capitalist federal system; China was the eight democratic parties under the leadership of the Communist Party on October 1, 1949, and announced that they had accepted the Common Program of the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference as an interim constitution. Unify the multi-ethnic socialist system. The National People's Congress was established in 1954, and the first Constitution of the People's Republic of China was created in the same year. The Constitution stipulates that China is a people's democratic state led by the working class and based on the workers-peasants alliance.

In the past 41 years, although the United States and China have developed their own development models under the normalization of diplomatic relations, the various disputes and frictions in Sino-US relations before the current ruling leaders of the two countries have been almost every year. Yes, but the overall direction is to seek common ground while shelving minor differences. In a peaceful environment, especially with the support of the United States Clinton Administration in November 2001, the Chinese government, with Premier Zhu Rongji as the General Secretary, also made Various commitments to open market accession requirements, so the director-general of the WTO, Michael Moore, wrote to WTO members on November 20, 2001, announcing that the Chinese government had accepted the "China's WTO Accession Protocol" on November 11, 2001. Since then, China's accession to the WTO has made China's economy take off and develop rapidly. After 10 years, China's total economic volume has reached the second in the world. The original idea of the Clinton administration was to allow China to take off after the Chinese economy entered the WTO, while gradually transforming China's political system into a free and democratic government similar to Western society.

After the Second World War, the post-war world political and economic system dominated by the United States was established. It is clear that the United States, as the world police, has gained supremacy. Especially in economic terms, the United States does not allow other countries to surpass him, similar to the previous ones. Britain, and later Japan, when their economic aggregates can gradually compete with the United States, regardless of who the United States is, they will use all means to wield a big stick to suppress it; in politics, the United States mainly suppresses the powerful hostility seen from the United States. Faction, the former Eastern European socialist camp represented by the Soviet Union, which was hostile to key countries. In 1989, under the soft attack of the Reagan administration for many years, the then General Secretary of the CPSU announced the dissolution of the Communist Party of the Soviet Union, which led to the sudden collapse of the powerful Soviet Union. The related socialist countries in Eastern Europe have fallen down to change the socialist state and put them into the embrace of the West.

On the basis of the reform and opening up advocated by Deng Xiaoping in 1978, China after 1989 continued to carry on its mission of keeping a low profile and focusing on economic development, while maintaining the socialist system unchanged after the disappearance of most of the socialist fraternal countries, and firmly taking its own path of independence. This path of independence It is the socialist road with Chinese characteristics.

When China's economy was strong, China proposed and implemented a major country's foreign policy and direction. This policy and direction was put forward by Wen Jiabao, then Premier of the State Council of China, in 2011 when he visited the earthquake-stricken area of Japan. "In the face of natural disasters, mankind is a community of destiny. "Later, the report of the 18th National Congress of the Communist Party of China was clearly expressed as a" community of human destiny ". By October 2017, General Secretary Xi Jinping clearly stated in the report of the 19th National Congress of the Communist Party of China: "The diplomacy of the great powers with Chinese characteristics should promote the establishment of new types of international relations and the building of a community of shared future for humanity." "Building a common destiny for mankind" has also been written into the UN Human Rights Council resolution. Diplomacy of great powers with Chinese characteristics promotes the construction of a new type of international relations and a community of shared destiny for mankind. The new type of international relations and the community of shared destiny for mankind are also regarded as two aspects of diplomacy of great powers with Chinese characteristics. It is also an important part of Xi Jinping 's socialist thought with Chinese characteristics in the new era. content.

Due to the rapid growth of China's economy and the huge accumulation of Chinese capital, it has created favorable conditions for capital export and overseas investment. The new economy, led by China, has gradually expanded along the Belt and Road. As of the end of October 2019, China has expanded to 137 countries and 30 countries. International organizations signed 197 "Belt and Road" cooperation documents.

All these US administrations, especially the administration after Trump's election, are vigilant and distrustful of the impressive changes that have taken place in China. From the perspective of the US administration, China has never kept its promises already made , Lack of integrity, theft of US intellectual property, disruption of the order of the world economy, and more. Not only do the United States and China have different national systems, they also have very different ideologies, human society, legal society, values, beliefs, and national governance. The United States has changed from anti-terrorism to anti-communism in the past two years. This has been made public, especially the current U.S. Vice President Pence and Secretary of State Peng Leo, who can almost always see their resolute anti-Communist speeches on various important occasions and public statements. President Trump sometimes makes public speeches. He has also mocked socialism many times. Although it is against Venezuela or Cuba, there is something in it. The current Speaker of the U.S. House of Representatives, Pelosi, is also an active anti-Communist political leader who is very active in American politics. US-China New Cold War Form

On the political level, the United States found that nearly 20 years after China's economic development had accumulated huge wealth by giving China accession to the World Trade Organization, it was impossible to change China's transition to a free and democratic country politically, but to move towards authoritarianism. What the "anti-communist and anti-China" forces have to do is to create a new cold war environment. A new cold war or even a hot war with China has always been the dream of the "anti-communist and anti-China" forces in the United States. The wave of "China threat theory" in the United States is based on the new Cold War thinking that has become popular in the United States in recent years. In modern international society, differences in political systems are often one of the important sources of confrontation and conflict between countries. In this regard, the values of the United States and China are completely different. China believes that different political systems coexist harmoniously and develop together, while the United States often regards countries with different political systems as competitors or even enemies. The basic judgment of the United States now is that China's "authoritarianism" is becoming permanent. For the United States, what is even more serious is that more and more countries will follow the Chinese system. This is the biggest challenge and the biggest "threat" to American liberal democracy.

Economically, the Cold War mentality of China's economic system. Since China's reform and opening up, China's economic system has gradually matured, forming a "mixed economic model" with its own characteristics. In recent years, the United States has been promoting China's concept of "national capitalism." Just as the economic model of the former Soviet Union was the biggest threat to the US liberal capitalism model, China's "national capitalism" has been considered the biggest economic threat to American liberal capitalism. After Trump came to power, he launched a trade war with countries around the world to gradually reduce or balance the US-import and export trade deficits. The focus of the trade war launched by the Trump administration was China, because in the past 15 years, the United States and China The trade deficit is extremely unbalanced. The Trump administration believes that the wealth of the United States has flowed to China. The annual trade deficit is 500 billion US dollars. The US has accumulated huge losses over the years. Therefore, the United States wants to negotiate with China to reduce trade on a large scale. The deficit is to use import tariffs to adjust. After 18 months of high-level U.S.-China officials travelled more than 10 times in two countries for bargaining, it was finally difficult to sign the first phase of Sino-US trade agreement at the White House on January 15, 2020. That is, the United States asked China to conduct the second stage of structural reforms in trade. The United States had to continue the negotiations immediately, but was postponed because of the global pandemic of new pneumonia.

At the diplomatic level, after the establishment of diplomatic relations between China and the United States on New Year's Day in 1979, before the respective heads of state of China and the United States took office, that is to say, the diplomatic relations between the two countries on the whole had more cooperation than differences, which was manifested in the frequent frictions between small things It happened, and major incidents happened by chance, but in the end, they conceded. For example, during the Kosovo war in 1999, on the evening of May 7, local time, and on May 8, Beijing time, NATO 's US B-2 bombers fired five precise guidance. A bomb or joint direct attack ammunition hit the Embassy of the People's Republic of China in Yugoslavia, killing three Chinese journalists Shao Yunhuan, Xu Xinghu, and Zhu Ying on the spot, wounding dozens of others, causing serious damage to the embassy building. The operation evolved into a diplomatic incident. A large number of Chinese people protested outside the US embassy. The incident triggered a conspiracy theory because of the previous shooting down of advanced US fighter planes. The US and NATO officials claimed that they had accidentally bombed and agreed to compensate. However, after the respective heads of state of China and the United States took office, major changes have taken place in the diplomatic level between China and the United States. China has initiated diplomacy in large countries. As of October 1, 2019, the 70th anniversary of the founding of the People's Republic of China, the total number of countries that have diplomatic relations with China. The number has risen to 180, and China has taken the initiative to seize the initiative in many diplomatic fields. It has continued to build a community of shared future for mankind, and signed 197 Belt and Road cooperation agreements with 137 countries and 30 international organizations. China's overall policy on diplomacy is that China's development cannot be separated from the world, and the world's peaceful development, prosperity, and stability cannot be separated from China. If the world is good, China can be good; if China is good, the world can be better. China has always placed its own development in the coordinate system of human development, always closely linked its own destiny with the destiny of peoples of the world, always combined the interests of the Chinese people with the common interests of peoples of all countries, and always became a builder of world peace and a global development Contributors and defenders of the international order contribute wisdom and strength to build a community of shared future for mankind and a better world. But the American ruling elites do n't think so about China 's foreign policy. They think that China 's aggressive "war wolf diplomacy" and the "new colonial diplomacy" along the Belt and Road Initiative. In its actions, the United States has openly established diplomatic relations with China. Countries, such as U.S. officials in September 2019 warned the Solomon Islands government not to pressure China to establish diplomatic relations with China ...;

On September 19, 2018, the U.S. Department of Justice required China's official media Xinhua News Agency and China Central Television's US-based branches to register as "foreign agents", which is on par with the treatment of two Russian state-owned media companies in the United States.

On February 18, 2020, the U.S. State Department announced that five mainstream official media organizations in China were identified as "foreign missions", which were considered part of the Chinese government and limited to 100 staff. The US State Department states that the five media organizations are Xinhua News Agency, China Global Television Network (CGTN), China International Radio (CRI), China Daily Publishing Company, and People's Daily publisher Haitian Development Corporation.

As a countermeasure, the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs announced on March 17, 2020 that it will expel American journalists operating in New York Times, The Wall Street Journal, and The Washington Post, as well as "Voice of America" and " Time magazine wants to provide the Chinese government with detailed information about its operations. At the same time, the American journalists who instructed the three news agencies to expire before the end of the year "report to the Information Department of the Ministry of Foreign Affairs 4 days from today and return the reporters' badges within 10 days." Almost all of the three news agencies' press badges in China expired this year.

In recent weeks, Zhao Lijian, a new spokesperson for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, said that the cause of the new pandemic pneumonia has caused the world pandemic. The source of the disease was tweeted in Chinese and English on March 13. £¡ To make the data public! The United States owes us an explanation! ", The US State Department summoned Chinese Ambassador to the United States Cui Tiankai the next day, expressing strong protests on behalf of the Chinese government 's Foreign Ministry spokesperson suggesting that the coronavirus was brought into Wuhan by the US military. Two days later, Trump again drew 3 tweets with an emphasis on nature and 2 public speeches. The words pointed directly to "China virus. This is not discrimination. It is the correct term. I respect President Xi, but this The epidemic came from China ... ", Trump also said at a press conference at the White House on March 22," China concealed the epidemic. I discussed the matter with Chinese President Xi Jinping and asked whether the Chinese side could send Staff assisted them, but the other side did not want to and did not respond. " Earlier on March 11, U.S. National Security Advisor O'Brien accused China of initially failing to respond to the outbreak and concealing it. Geng Shuang, another spokesman for the Chinese Ministry of Foreign Affairs, countered that O'Brien's statement was "neither immoral nor irresponsible, and did nothing to prevent and control the epidemic in the United States." At the same time, US Secretary of State Pompeo also accused the Chinese authorities of initially concealing the epidemic. In addition, American Axios reporter Jonathan Swan mentioned in an interview that Cui Tiankai made a statement last month-this is Cui Tiankai 's Sunday political program "Face the Nation" on February 9th on CBS TV in the United States China 's response to US Senator Corton 's allegations. Cui Tiankai said at the time: "Some people say that these viruses come from the US military laboratory instead of China. How can we believe these crazy remarks?" Axios produced a program broadcast on March 22 in cooperation with cable station HBO. An exclusive interview with Cui Tiankai, Chinese ambassador to the United States, was released in the evening. Cui Tiankai said in an interview that diplomats came to speculate on the origin of the new coronavirus as "harmful." Cui Tiankai said: " This is my consistent position. I thought so, and still think so. For these questions, of course, we must finally find the answer to reveal the source of the virus, but this is the work of scientists, not speculation by diplomats or reporters, because such speculation is not good for anyone, and Very harmful. "Cui Tiankai also stated that he is the representative of the Chinese head of state in the United States. On March 23, Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesman Geng Shuang strongly protested Trump's" China virus theory ", and there were multiple attacks against Chinese Americans in the United States. In this context, Trump suddenly changed his tongue, saying that he no longer called the "Chinese virus", and his explanation was "to protect Asian Americans from discrimination."

At the military level, diplomacy and national defense are symbols of a sovereign country. The strength of a country can be seen by looking at the country's diplomacy and its national defense. China's rapid economic development will inevitably bring about military development.

The armed forces of the People's Republic of China are composed of the Chinese People's Liberation Army, the Chinese People's Armed Police Force and the Chinese National Army. They adopt a "party command gun" military leadership system. The Central Military Commission leads the national armed forces. Command the whole army. The armed forces of the People's Republic of China have an important position and role in the overall national security and development strategy, and shoulder the mission and responsibilities of safeguarding national sovereignty, security, and development interests.

The Armed Forces of the United States of America, commonly known as the U.S. Army, is the federal armed forces of the United States. At present, the U.S. Army is still the strongest military force in the world, and its size and equipment are ranked first in the world. The U.S. military is divided into six branches, namely, the Army, Navy, Air Force, Space Force, Marine Corps, and Coast Guard. The President commands the entire army. The United States has the world's largest nuclear arsenal and is the only country in the world that has used nuclear weapons in actual combat.

After the U.S. Pentagon released its 2019 China military assessment report, Xue Ruifu, assistant to the Indian-Pacific Security Affairs Department of the Defense Department, detailed China's attempts to use diplomatic, economic, and military influence to ensure its international status. Xue Ruifu said: "Our 2019 report finds that China seeks prosperity and strength in the coming decades, and the report states that China has a clear goal to make the Chinese army a world-class army by 2049. China may deploy submarines to The Arctic region to deter adversary's nuclear attacks. China continues to increase production of DF-26 medium-range ballistic missiles, which can conduct conventional and nuclear precision strikes on ground and naval targets in the Western Pacific and Indian Oceans. China uses a variety of means Access to foreign technology, including foreign direct investment, establishment of foreign R & D centers, joint ventures, research and academic partnerships, and industrial and cyber espionage. I think especially in new areas, they are in the areas of cyber, space, hypersonic, artificial intelligence A lot of money has been invested. So we see very aggressive (military) modernization efforts supported by a lot of resources. "

Comparison of US and Chinese military strength in six aspects: 1. Military expenditure (2018), US $ 600 billion, China: US $ 150 billion; 2. Military personnel, 1.33 million people in the United States, 2.33 million people in China; 3. Army equipment, United States 8,900, China 9,100; 4. Navy ships, US 415, China 714, aircraft carriers, US 10, China 2; 5. Air Force, US 13,000, China 2,500; 6. Nuclear missiles, US 1,750, 220 pieces from China. By comparing military strength, the United States clearly has an advantage over China.

The Trump Administration 's National Security Strategy Report and National Defense Strategy Report, which were issued in December 2017 and the U.S. Department of Defense in January 2018, both directly claimed that China and Russia were the main strategic competitors of the United States, and claimed that the United States would Gather resources to meet the challenges of China and Russia. A White House spokesman called this US National Security Strategy Report the United States' "new national security strategy for a new era." This appellation echoes the "new era" proposed by Chinese leaders, and its goals for China are clear.

Because of the absolute military superiority of the U.S. military, the U.S. military continued to show off its strength in the South China Sea Islands and Taiwan Straits in the military. It even entered the South China Sea islands within 200 nautical miles and rammed many times. The critical moment after flying across the mid-line or around the Taiwan Strait was entered by the aircraft carrier strike group into the Taiwan Strait. The slogan is: "Maintain free navigation in the South China Sea and maintain stability and peace in the Taiwan Strait." In recent weeks, it has also occurred that U.S. warships actually conducted live-fire exercises on the islands of the South China Sea and that U.S. bombers flew Hong Kong to show military strength and muscle.

At the legal level, I mainly mention the laws that have been passed by some U.S. federal lawmakers and passed by the U.S. Congress and signed by President Trump. These laws are related to China and are US domestic laws. :

Taiwan Travel Act, effective March 16, 2018;

Tibet Travel Equivalence Act, effective December 20, 2018;

The Hong Kong Bill of Rights and Democracy, which entered into force on November 27, 2019;

The Taiwan Alliance International Safeguards and Strengthening Initiative Act 2019, which came into effect on March 26, 2020;

In addition, the Uyghur Human Rights Policy Act and the Tibet Policy and Support Act 2019 have been passed by the US Congress.

From the legislature's legislature and the president of the United States Administration, they have publicly and publicly publicized these bills at the legal level. These bills have been proposed, discussed, debated, and then signed and made into law. The administration has to enforce them. It is very clear that this is the politics of American power. Part of China's content, which is also the substance of the US-China New Cold War, is marked on the legal level.

Every time the United States blatantly interferes in China's internal affairs, the Chinese government, including the Chinese People's Congress and the Chinese People's Political Consultative Conference, has expressed strong indignation and protest.

The other levels, not the skeleton level, are auxiliary levels, but they are also very important levels. I will mention them a little bit and will not discuss them again. Similar to communications, the focus is on restricting ZTE, Huawei Communications, Huawei Deputy Director on December 1, 2018 Meng Wanzhou, Treasurer and Treasurer, was arrested in Canada by U.S. judicial extradition and was arrested by the US District Court for the Eastern District of New York. It is mainly a bill alleging violations of U.S. sanctions on Iran and dozens of other criminal charges. President Trump also signed the "Secure and Trustworthy Communication Network Act" on March 12, 2020, prohibiting federal agencies from using ZTE and Huawei products; the Confucius Institute, the United States considers it to be part of China's outreach, and many people are engaged in and professional Irrelevant activities for the output and propaganda of the Communist Red Revolution; the Thousand Talents Plan, the United States arrested a number of researchers at American research institutions related to the Thousand Talents Plan, accusing them of selling high-tech technology and information for a large sum of Chinese money ; Information intelligence and computer hacking, mainly accused and wanted several named computer military personnel in Shanghai Pudong to invade and steal the confidential information and data of many important US federal and military agencies; spies, in the United States and China in recent years A number of related professional spies were arrested and sentenced to different lengths of imprisonment. At the same time, the US spy network in China associated with the United States was destroyed by China as early as 2010-2012, and the corresponding spy personnel were punished by law; knowledge Property rights are an old-fashioned issue. The United States has always believed that China perpetually and seriously violated the United States. Intellectual property causes the United States to lose $ 600 billion in annual losses ... The Cold War on many levels and other aspects are actively underway.

Features of the new US-China Cold War

Summarizing the above analysis of various levels, the characteristics of the US-China New Cold War were initiated by the United States, that is, the U.S. national leaders publicly opposed Communism and anti-socialism to personally take the initiative through various rallies, speeches and propaganda, diplomatic charge, and military support. Some positions of the alliance often support the United States to jointly launch an active offensive-type new cold war against China. In the process of the new cold war step by step, limited to China, which ranked third in the military in a strong position, the characteristics of the resistance to the new cold war are basically in a passive and obedient manner, that is, defensive. Consequences of the US-China New Cold War

The consequences of the new Cold War between the United States and China are extremely severe. This consequence has three possible development prospects:

The first kind of prospect is to gradually eliminate, and the level of confrontation will decrease year by year. This requires, in particular, that the US elite authorities recognize the development and rise of China, and that the Chinese leadership needs to adjust relevant US policies, which is a prerequisite for peace. We will continue to cooperate with each other in good faith, seek common ground while reserving minor differences, improve ideological propaganda, and establish a good relationship with the United States. Similar to China 's first visit to the United States after Deng Xiaoping returned to China in 1979 when reform and opening up started, and accompanied the visiting Chinese agency during the period Li Shenzhi, deputy director of the Chinese Academy of Sciences, asked Deng Xiaoping on the plane: "Why do we attach so much importance to relations with the United States?" Deng Xiaoping replied: "Looking back at the past decades, all countries that have good relations with the United States have become rich. "As for the pros and cons of the social system, it is judged by its own citizens;

The second prospect is to maintain the status quo, that is, to accompany and fight back while suppressing the United States' proactive new cold war, and wait for the subsequent political, economic, and military development to decide how to choose the issue of the prospect;

The third kind of prospect is to gradually transform from the new Cold War to an adventurous hot war. If it happens, the current hot war is different from the conventional artillery war in the past. Because the new Cold War occurs between powerful countries with nuclear weapons capable of destroying humans, once it enters the hot war, , It will be the sadness of the world. This is a result that people of all countries in the world are unwilling to see. It is also a prospect that the author of this article is unwilling to speculate.